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	<title>Allergy &#124; Allergies &#187; gluten</title>
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		<title>How Mature is the US Gluten Free Market? Comparison With Aus, Canada, Mexico &amp; Brazil Yields the Gfp Matrix. See Why US is Tier 1 !</title>
		<link>http://allergy-aware.com/97/gluten/how-mature-is-the-us-gluten-free-market-comparison-with-aus-canada-mexico-brazil-yields-the-gfp-matrix-see-why-us-is-tier-1/</link>
		<comments>http://allergy-aware.com/97/gluten/how-mature-is-the-us-gluten-free-market-comparison-with-aus-canada-mexico-brazil-yields-the-gfp-matrix-see-why-us-is-tier-1/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Mar 2010 04:50:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jane Simpson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[gluten]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Array Rye Intolerance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Australia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brazil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[celiac disease]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gluten free]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gluten intolerance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gluten market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mexico]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nutrition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wheat free]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wheat sensitivity]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[When analysing gluten free markets, the main question that people with celiac disease will ask is  &#8220;what&#8217;s in it for me&#8221; ? Having an understanding of markets such as Australia and America is fundamental to understanding how many more suppliers are likely to enter the market and so drive competition and choice. If you [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><img src="http://thm-a02.yimg.com/nimage/d865cbd33bfbde0c" alt="image" title="homepage packaging jpg" align="left" style="margin: 0 5px 5px 0" />When analysing gluten free markets, the main question that people with celiac disease will ask is  &#8220;what&#8217;s in it for me&#8221; ? Having an understanding of markets such as Australia and America is fundamental to understanding how many more suppliers are likely to enter the market and so drive competition and choice. If you are celiac or a gluten free supplier, these are two words that you hold dear to your heart:  choice and low price . To understand how close we are to a mature market (when maximum competition drives prices down) it is useful to compare several countries and communities within these.</p>
<p> This analysis is based on Google search terms (for the month of Dec 08) used in the gluten free market. As Google usually has a large market share in most countries and also has specific country domains, this provides a perfect baseline to compare gluten free markets across the world.</p>
<p> This article is set out in the following format:</p>
<p> Identification Of the Four Gluten Free Market Tiers</p>
<p>  Introduction Comparison Of Communities By Their Market Tiers</p>
<p>The following are available in the full article on our website</p>
<p>FULL ANALYSIS PER COMMUNITY</p>
<p>  Statistic Tables for each community</p>
<p>GFP MATRIX: Identification Of the Four Gluten Free Market Tiers</p>
<p> So far  four market levels  (TIERS) have been identified.</p>
<p> A fully matured gluten free market has not been reached yet due to the low diagnosis of celiac disease even in developed countries. So far, analysis has shown that the most developed gf markets are those in Australia, the US and Canada. Characteristics of the e-demand side of these are a high number of search terms and high search volumes.</p>
<p> Of the search terms used in  tier 1 communities , they are typically dominated by generic gluten free terms where the first 2 to 3 terms represent over  55% of the top 50 searches . This is the case in Australia, US (English speaking) and Canada (English). It is speculated that in these countries there are a significant number of celiacs who have been diagnosed for a few years. They originally searched for information on the disease and diets required and now prefer to spend more time searching for generic gluten free terms. By doing so they have found that on the supply side of things products have been amassed in the one place. This means that by searching on generic terms they can easily find large gluten free sites that contain many gluten free products on which they can search internally for specific terms. While generic searches are large, searches on the celiac group are still the second highest and account for over 15% of the top 50 searches. Within this group two terms ‘celiac&#8217; and ‘celiac disease&#8217; typically account for over  85% of all searches .</p>
<p>  The next level of market maturity (tier 2)  is shown by communities like US Spanish speaking and Canadian French speaking communities. These communities are often smaller than the dominant communities (often English) in their countries but they have first world affluence available to them. They often have  under 100 total search terms  over a twelve month average. In this example, US Spanish has 17 search terms and Canadian French have 30. The relatively high level of affluence within these communities increases the individual&#8217;s chances of being diagnosed and pursuing a often more difficult and costly gluten free diet (as compared with tier 4 markets. These ‘second tier&#8217; communities also have a high search proportion devoted to generic gluten free terms but there is also a higher proportion of searches (than found in tier 1 markets) devoted to finding information on celiac disease such as through celiac diet and/or wheat allergy searches.</p>
<p>  The third market maturity (tier 3)  is shown by communities such as Mexican English speaking (101 searches) and Brazilian English speaking (100 searches) communities. These communities are much smaller proportions of the country population than tier 2 markets. They are often much more affluent than the main population ethnicity (through education/ employment) or having come from more affluent countries such as America. They tend to not search so much for generic gluten free terms (less than 45%) but have an increase in searches for celiac diet searches and specific food groups. This pattern is indicative of newly diagnosed people (having access to good medical attention). The other main trait of this market is that it includes people who have had the disease for a while and are now seeking specialist gluten free products such as ‘gluten free restaurants&#8217; or ‘desserts&#8217; &#8211; rather than staple gluten free foods such as flour or breads.</p>
<p>  The lowest developed market (tier 4)  is reflected by searches in Mexico (Spanish Speaking) 24 total searches and Brazil (Portuguese speaking) 23 searches. The communities also tend to have very low searches per head of population and may not have access to good medical facilities &#8211; often a large rural population. These people have a relatively small proportion of generic searches and a much higher number of ‘wheat free&#8217; and ‘celiac&#8217; searches. While they also have higher search volumes for specialty gluten free foods, rather than bread searches (main specialty in refined markets) or desserts, they tend to search for even more fundamental food staples such as flour and oatmeal. Counter intuitively they also tend to search for cakes and cookies. This is not necessarily related to the countries affluence but is more likely a social phenomenon where providing good food spreads for parties and extended family gatherings account for a large part of their social interaction.</p>
<p>INTRODUCTION </p>
<p>  Higher choice and lower prices will likely occur in tier 1 market countries as more celiacs are diagnosed and search for and buy more products. The development will reach maturity once the growth of the market goes through a point of inflexion in its growth and begins to plateau. Only long term monitoring of this demand can assess where that level of maturity approaches saturation.</p>
<p>  The development of the market level definitions (tier structure) will be refined as more countries are analysed.</p>
<p> A practical application of this analysis for celiacs is to see what other celiacs are searching for and how  developed  the gluten free market is in their own countries. This article attempts to answer the question &#8220;what are the characteristics of a mature gluten free market&#8221;.</p>
<p>  This research and analysis was undertaken to see if there is a correlation between gluten free search profiles of developed nations and how this may differ from countries in close proximity to the US.</p>
<p>  A previous article on  www.glutenfreepages.com.au  showed a very strong correlation between gluten free search profiles of Australia and the US. In the article you are now reading, analysis was refined to include the  affect of languages, internet usage, Google market share etc . Where countries use several languages, analysis was performed on English searches and the other local language.</p>
<p> This research was undertaken for the month of December 2008 Google search volumes for Gluten free products and uses monthly averages over a year in countries where search volatility is high and/or search volumes low. The analysis again shows a very strong correlation between the Australian and US Gluten free markets.</p>
<p> One of the first indictors or market maturity is considered to be the number of ‘gluten free&#8217; related internet searches per ‘population divided by 100&#8242;. This takes into consideration that approximately 1 in 100 people (diagnosed and undiagnosed) may be celiac.</p>
<p> TABLE: A table showing the number of monthly searches per celiac for each community is shown in the full article.</p>
<p> The Adjusted GF Searches per month per celiac column takes into consideration internet usage, Google market share. The values are most accurate for the first three countries, ‘developed&#8217; nations. These countries have a long established internet usage and Google was able to provide search terms up to its self imposed limit of 200 terms. The search values for Mexico and Brazil English speaking are likely to be inflated due to sparse information on the penetration of English language in these countries and Google&#8217;s translation abilities.</p>
<p> The most important concept in this research is the gluten free grouping profiles . As explained below, all gluten free terms were assigned to one of  seven groups . The top 50 search terms were sorted into these groups and groups were analysed for number of terms, proportion of the top 50 and the specific terms within each group. While the following pages go into the details of each country a summary of the analysis is:</p>
<p> GRAPH : &#8220;Guten Free Product Search Term Group Proportions of TOP 50 terms&#8221; is shown in the full article.</p>
<p> Group Composition</p>
<p> The following shows some of the representative terms in each group.</p>
<p> Generic GF Product: This group of search terms all involve the word gluten and are generic in nature, such a gluten, gluten free, gluten free products, gluten free meals.</p>
<p> Gluten Diet: These are terms that are related to the specifics of gluten free diets such as: gluten free diets, celiac diet.</p>
<p> Gluten Free recipe: Terms such as gluten free recipes, gluten recipe, gluten free baking, wheat free baking</p>
<p> Celiac related: These are terms related to information on the disease such as: celiac disease, gluten intolerance, gluten allergies</p>
<p> Wheat free: Terms such as: wheat free, wheat gluten, wheat allergy</p>
<p> Locations: gluten free stores, gluten free shopping, gluten free restaurant</p>
<p> GF Specific Foods: gluten free bread, gluten free pizza, gluten free cakes, gluten free muffins</p>
<p>COMPARISON of Communities by their Market Tiers</p>
<p> Australia, US English, Canada English.</p>
<p>  Australian, US English speaking and Canadian English groups had very similar profiles. Each country had the ‘generic gluten free&#8217; group as its main group with the following volume proportions: AUS 65%, US Eng 64%, Canadian Eng 63%. In each case the same ‘gluten and gluten free&#8217; generic terms rated as the top two overall searched terms by volume.</p>
<p> The celiac group was the second largest volume searched by all three countries: AUS (18%), US Eng (21%), Canada Eng (21%). Each category was dominated by over 85% by the terms ‘celiac&#8217; and ‘celiac disease&#8217;. Dual spellings in Australia.</p>
<p> US Spanish, Canadian French</p>
<p>  The graphs show that these communities are similar to the three above, at least in the proportion of the generic ‘gluten free products&#8217; group.</p>
<p> One of the main things that affects the distribution profile of these communities is that US Spanish searches only comprised a total of 19 terms compared to US English that was capped by Google at 200. Per population of the American English V Spanish community, the English speaking community performed 4.2 times as many gluten free product searches as US Spanish speaking people on Google.</p>
<p> For the US Spanish community, the ‘celiac&#8217; group was the highest volume proportion of any of the countries analysed. While the US and Australia searched for generic ‘celiac&#8217; terms in this group the US Spanish search for ‘celiac allergies&#8217;. This suggests a possible different approach to the way each country views celiac disease.</p>
<p> Compared to the US English, these communities also have a stronger interest in wheat issues. While the US English searched for 3 terms in this group it only made up 4% of volumes. The US Spanish searched for only one term: ‘wheat intolerance&#8217; and it made up 18% of total search volumes. These factors suggest the US Spanish searchers are new to celiac disease and the market is immature compared to the first three countries.</p>
<p> The Canadian French speaking community had a similar profile to Canadian English but a much higher interest in the ‘gluten diet&#8217; group and slightly higher interest in GF specific foods. These terms are accounted for by them looking at the specifics of what they can eat, and specific foods of gluten free ‘oatmeal&#8217; and ‘quinoa&#8217;. The higher interest in the diet group suggests that they are either more specialised in their searches than their English counterparts or are earlier in the disease diagnosis stage.</p>
<p> Mexican English / Brazilian English</p>
<p>  In each community English is a very small minority of the population but is massively over represented in search volumes. As Google has country specific domains in each countries main language this statistic suggest that these English communities are more aware of gluten issues, are more affluent, and potentially represent a more mature search market.</p>
<p> There is a strong similarity between the Mexican English and Brazil English speaking group profiles. Both communities have a significantly reduced generic search focus but a similar increases in GF specific foods and Gluten Diet information. Quite a few of the English speaking people in these countries are believed to either be affluent locals or foreigners (ex pat US).</p>
<p> In the Mexican English speaking community, the highest searched group is ‘gf locations&#8217; and the highest volume terms are related to gluten free restaurants. The second highest group ‘celiac&#8217; is dominated by several equally search volume terms that use three and four word search strings. The third group ‘gf specific foods&#8217; is dominated by searches for desserts. This suggests a split in focus between people newly diagnosed and those who are affluent enough to regularly search for gluten free restaurants and desserts.</p>
<p> In the ‘Brazil English&#8217; community there was an even stronger fascination with gluten free desserts taking up three individual search terms &#8211; the first two accounting for 9% of all searches. Coelaic (UK spelling) was the second most searched group and it contained only one term which accounted for 24% of search volumes. The highest specific food searches were for cakes and muffins, whereas in US English and Australia top specific searches were for breads.</p>
<p>  Mexican Spanish, Brazil Portuguese.</p>
<p> The profiles for these communities were the most unlike the US English and Australian. The table at the beginning of this article also shows that in raw terms they had one tenth the searches per head.</p>
<p> Mexican Spanish differs from market 1 profiles as much by its large reduction in generic searches as its large increase in searches on wheat issues. In fact three of the top ‘wheat free&#8217; searches accounted for 44% of top 50 volumes. This suggests a community in early stages of diagnosis and discovery. The two highest specific gf food searches were for ‘oatmeal&#8217; and ‘flour&#8217;. These non luxury items, low search volumes and focus on wheat free issues suggests a non affluent community searching for fixes to staple food groups.</p>
<p> Brazil Portuguese has a very large population but low search volumes. In fact it has nine times the population of Australia, but less than half the searches on gluten free products. While generic gluten searches were the main search group at 44% (20% less than US and AUS), its first two terms were still the same generic terms. Of most interest is that this community has the highest specific food group volume proportion of all countries. And rather than an interest in food staples, they focus on gluten free cakes (18% of top 50 searches), and cookies 10%. They also search for gluten free flour (3%) and oatmeal (2%).</p>
<p> With the third highest group being ‘wheat free&#8217; and gluten allergies Brazil&#8217;s market resembles the split shown in Mexico (English) between learning about celiac disease and enjoying treats. However rather than searching on restaurants, the Brazilian Portuguese interest in cakes may be seen as a cultural choice (socialising and providing family spreads) rather than an opulent choice.</p>
<p> GRAPH : A graph on our website shows the relationship between a tier 1 community (place that is nearing market maturity) AND a high proportion that its top two searches take up of the top 50 searches AND a high number of searches per (population / 100).</p>
<p>MORE INFORMATION:</p>
<p>The development of the  GFP MATRIX  and market level definitions (tier structure) will be refined as more countries are analysed. The above information is a summary of the full article that can be found at  www.glutenfreepages.com.au  To find this article, look under the menu tab ‘Articles’, then ‘GFP Original articles&#8217;. The full report analyses each community in detail and shows graphs and statistic tables associated with each community.  </p></div>
<h3  class="related_post_title">Similar Allergy Articles</h3><ul class="related_post"><li><a href="http://allergy-aware.com/150/gluten-free/how-mature-is-the-us-gluten-free-market-comparison-with-aus-canada-mexico-brazil-yields-the-gfp-matrix-see-why-us-is-tier-1-3/" title="How Mature is the US Gluten Free Market? Comparison With Aus, Canada, Mexico &#038; Brazil Yields the Gfp Matrix. See Why US is Tier 1 !">How Mature is the US Gluten Free Market? Comparison With Aus, Canada, Mexico &#038; Brazil Yields the Gfp Matrix. See Why US is Tier 1 !</a></li><li><a href="http://allergy-aware.com/143/gluten-free/how-mature-is-the-us-gluten-free-market-comparison-with-aus-canada-mexico-brazil-yields-the-gfp-matrix-see-why-us-is-tier-1-2/" title="How Mature is the US Gluten Free Market? Comparison With Aus, Canada, Mexico &#038; Brazil Yields the Gfp Matrix. See Why US is Tier 1 !">How Mature is the US Gluten Free Market? Comparison With Aus, Canada, Mexico &#038; Brazil Yields the Gfp Matrix. See Why US is Tier 1 !</a></li><li><a href="http://allergy-aware.com/141/gluten-free/why-are-europe%e2%80%99s-gluten-free-markets-so-under-developed-compared-to-the-us-google-data-from-dec-08-is-used-to-see-what-they-search-for-%e2%80%a6/" title="Why are Europe’s Gluten Free Markets so Under-developed Compared to the Us? Google Data From Dec 08 is Used to See What They Search for …">Why are Europe’s Gluten Free Markets so Under-developed Compared to the Us? Google Data From Dec 08 is Used to See What They Search for …</a></li><li><a href="http://allergy-aware.com/142/gluten-free/celiac-disease-affects-1-in-100-but-global-diagnosis-is-related-to-a-country%e2%80%99s-wealth-see-the-results-of-gluten-free-demand-in-gfp-matrix-analysis-3/" title="Celiac disease affects 1 in 100. But Global diagnosis is related to a country’s wealth. See the results of gluten free demand in GFP Matrix analysis">Celiac disease affects 1 in 100. But Global diagnosis is related to a country’s wealth. See the results of gluten free demand in GFP Matrix analysis</a></li><li><a href="http://allergy-aware.com/95/gluten/celiac-disease-affects-1-in-100-but-global-diagnosis-is-related-to-a-country%e2%80%99s-wealth-see-the-results-of-gluten-free-demand-in-gfp-matrix-analysis-2/" title="Celiac disease affects 1 in 100. But Global diagnosis is related to a country’s wealth. See the results of gluten free demand in GFP Matrix analysis">Celiac disease affects 1 in 100. But Global diagnosis is related to a country’s wealth. See the results of gluten free demand in GFP Matrix analysis</a></li></ul>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Wheat Gluten:  Its available in stores to help in bread making. Got any comments on using it?</title>
		<link>http://allergy-aware.com/96/gluten/wheat-gluten-its-available-in-stores-to-help-in-bread-making-got-any-comments-on-using-it/</link>
		<comments>http://allergy-aware.com/96/gluten/wheat-gluten-its-available-in-stores-to-help-in-bread-making-got-any-comments-on-using-it/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Mar 2010 07:39:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jane Simpson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[gluten]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Wasn&#8217;t there a wheat gluten issue when all the dog food became dangerous and suspicious?
What does wheat gluten do to a loaf of bread anyway?  One answerer today said the loaves will double in size&#8230; What&#8217;s the skinny?
Thanks very much.
You might also enjoy:Doctor&#8217;s Talk: Asthma, allergy, its treatment and cure  Part 1G-FreeWHat are [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Wasn&#8217;t there a wheat gluten issue when all the dog food became dangerous and suspicious?<br />
What does wheat gluten do to a loaf of bread anyway?  One answerer today said the loaves will double in size&#8230; What&#8217;s the skinny?<br />
Thanks very much.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Celiac disease affects 1 in 100. But Global diagnosis is related to a country’s wealth. See the results of gluten free demand in GFP Matrix analysis</title>
		<link>http://allergy-aware.com/95/gluten/celiac-disease-affects-1-in-100-but-global-diagnosis-is-related-to-a-country%e2%80%99s-wealth-see-the-results-of-gluten-free-demand-in-gfp-matrix-analysis-2/</link>
		<comments>http://allergy-aware.com/95/gluten/celiac-disease-affects-1-in-100-but-global-diagnosis-is-related-to-a-country%e2%80%99s-wealth-see-the-results-of-gluten-free-demand-in-gfp-matrix-analysis-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Mar 2010 01:58:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jane Simpson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[gluten]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[celiac disease]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gluten free]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gluten intolerance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gluten market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nutrition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rye intolerance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wheat free]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wheat sensitivity]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[In this article gluten free research shows:
  The definition of Tier 1 (very low) and Tier 3 (very high) gluten markets
 Outliers to the standard trend called  hyper and hypo markets
  A linear relationship is shown between raw searches and Adjusted Celiac Searches
A logarithmic relation is shown between a countries adjusted searches [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><img src="http://thm-a02.yimg.com/nimage/763a45c315a9115e" alt="image" title="5032478600 jpg" align="left" style="margin: 0 5px 5px 0" />In this article gluten free research shows:</p>
<p>  The definition of Tier 1 (very low) and Tier 3 (very high) gluten markets</p>
<p> Outliers to the standard trend called  hyper and hypo markets</p>
<p>  A linear relationship is shown between raw searches and Adjusted Celiac Searches</p>
<p>A logarithmic relation is shown between a countries adjusted searches and the wealth of the country (per person).</p>
<p>  This research draws together all previous GFP Matrix research and articles on the GFP website and is based on analysis of Google search results for gluten products made in December 2008. The analysis compares communities in the Americas, Europe and Asia. Communities are defined as specific language segments within a country. Most countries have the bulk of their market defined by their incumbent language searches and English language searches.</p>
<p>To assist analysis, gluten related search terms were divided into seven groups as shown below. Only the top 50 search terms were used for detailed statistical analysis, but in most cases, these fifty terms represent 95% of all terms.</p>
<p> Gluten Group Composition:</p>
<p>Generic GF Product: This group of search terms all involve the word gluten and are generic in nature, such a gluten, gluten free, gluten free products, gluten free meals.</p>
<p> Gluten Diet: These are terms that are related to the specifics of gluten free diets such as: gluten free diets, celiac diet.</p>
<p>Gluten Free recipe: Terms such as gluten free recipes, gluten recipe, gluten free baking, wheat free baking</p>
<p>Celiac related: These are terms related to information on the disease such as: celiac, celiac disease, gluten intolerance, gluten allergies</p>
<p>Wheat free: Terms such as: wheat free, wheat gluten, wheat allergy</p>
<p>GF Locations: gluten free stores, gluten free shopping, gluten free restaurant</p>
<p>Specific GF Foods: gluten free bread, gluten free pizza, gluten free cakes, gluten free muffins</p>
<p>  Another main concept in this research was the development of a term called ‘ Adjusted Celiac searches&#8217; . This value is based on raw gluten search term volumes and ‘adjusted&#8217; (increased) to account for internet usage in a country as well as the probable total search engine gluten queries (using specific country Google Market share as the basis). This adjusted value thus estimates the total gluten searches as if 100% of a country had internet access and all search engine results were used. This intermediate value is then divided by 100 to gain a monthly ‘adjusted celiac search&#8217; value. This assumes that the average celiac rate is approximately 1 in 100 people (diagnosed and undiagnosed). This hypothetical value thus estimates the average number of times that a celiac searched for gluten free products in a community per month &#8211; assuming that all celiac&#8217;s search. Note that the main difference in English spelling in all countries is whether they use celiac (UK derived) or celiac (USA).</p>
<p>While it was found that a communities number of raw searches per population can act as a rough guide to its level of development, there are several exceptions. It was found that at the very low (Tier 3) and high raw searches positions (Tier 1), a pattern emerged in how the search groups are proportioned. See below:</p>
<p> TIER</p>
<p>1 characteristics</p>
<p> The primary classification of this group is high raw search results (searches / population). The group comprises: Australia (0.0218), US (0.0123); Canada English (0.0175); UK (0.0135); Singapore English (0.02730). Singapore&#8217;s standout result is partly due to the countries very high economic success (GDP per person) and its very high usage of telecommunications (see Asia GFP Matrix article).</p>
<p>  At the high ‘raw search&#8217; end of the spectrum, (AND high adjusted celiac searches) it was found that there are a high proportion of ‘generic gluten searches&#8217; compared to other groups. It was also found that the majority of these searches were for CORE generic terms such as: gluten, gluten free, gluten free food, gluten free products etc</p>
<p>And of these generic searches,  usually two terms comprise 90% or more of the total group&#8217;s searches . There are also usually  more than ten generic  terms in the top 50 search terms. While several tier 3 communities also have the top two terms being a high proportion of the group, the group usually comprises only five or less terms.</p>
<p>The second highest group is usually the  celiac group . Like the generic group these terms are often CORE terms such as: celiac, celiac disease, gluten intolerance etc.</p>
<p>The specific food group on average has a low proportion of  seven percent  of the top 50 searches.</p>
<p>It is speculated that the reason for the top two groups comprise 70% TO 80% of top 50 searches are that in the generic group, these communities are in high internet penetration and have high economic wealth countries where high demand has created a high supply of gluten websites. The gluten specific websites act like gluten malls with internal search functions that people use to find the gluten info they are after. Whereas in less developed countries these large sites may not exist and people have learned to use unique and three or four word search terms to find what they want right from the search engine stage.</p>
<p>The high proportion of celiac group searches are most likely by newly diagnosed people and older diagnosed attempting to find if new medical breakthroughs have occurred in the disease. Again CORE terms usually dominate this group because there are enough large all encompassing celiac devoted sites that provide the answers people are seeking.</p>
<p>What foods to TIER 1 communities search for? The table below shows that  bread  (1.6); is almost always the first and/ or second searched for term. Then on average the next three most popular specific food items are cake (2.5), dairy (3.5) and pizza (3.8).</p>
<p> TIER 3</p>
<p> The primary classification of this group is  very low raw search results per population . The group comprise communities such as: US Spanish (0.0011); Mexico Spanish (0.0004); Brazil Portuguese (0.006); China Simplified (0.009); India Hindi ( (0.0004); Indonesia Indo ( 0.0008).</p>
<p>As can be seen from the table, the  average generic search proportion  for the tier 4 communities was  32%  (compared to tier 1, 58%). While compared to Tier 1 communities, the average proportion of the  specific foods group  was three times as high at  22%.</p>
<p> Of the specific foods, on average the highest average ranked tier four foods were: cake (1.3), pizza (2.0), cookies (2.3), flour (2.7), bread (3.3), corn (3.5), oatmeal (3.6)</p>
<p> Tier 2</p>
<p>  These communities are developing gluten free markets. Their raw searches lie somewhere between tier 1 and tier 3 communities. In graph plots of raw or adjusted celiac searches versus GDP or other similar metrics these communities form the bridge between tier 1 and tier 3 communities.</p>
<p>While some tier 2 or tier 3 communities may appear to have high generic searches, often a high proportion of these are for non-core terms such as: gluten free breakfast, gluten free snacks, gf desserts, gf gifts. etc</p>
<p> Hypo markets</p>
<p> These are markets that exist in highly developed countries (like tier 1 communities) have very low raw gluten searches (like tier 3 communities) and very high proportions of generic gluten searches (like tier 1) markets.</p>
<p>Three classic examples of tier 2 communities are the incumbent language searches in: Germany, France &amp; Spain.</p>
<p>It can be seen that the average raw search value is 0.0016, the average % of Core generic terms is 81% (much higher than the average tier 1 communities) and specific foods is 6% &#8211; very close to tier 1.</p>
<p>Typically the specific foods searched for are similar to tier 1 communities. For example the top three foods searched for by French speaking people in France were: gluten free Flour, oatmeal and rye flour.</p>
<p>Assuming that European communities have a typical proportion of celiac&#8217;s per population, the low raw searches are an anomaly. These communities have a high internet penetration and relatively high Google market share so the low share is likely to be caused by low diagnosis within the communities. These areas still have a relatively high level of wheat and gluten consumption via breads and pastas so either there is something else in their diet keeping celiac disease at bay, or they find their gluten products some other way.</p>
<p> Hyper Markets</p>
<p> These are ‘ over performing&#8217;  markets.</p>
<p>On raw searches per population they appear like tier 3 communities, that is they have very low search values, however when adjusted for Internet penetration and Google share, they have over performing high values for ‘celiac searches&#8217; per month.</p>
<p>Typically, unlike hypo markets, they are developing communities with relatively low GDP per person values. Prime examples of hyper markets are Russia English Speaking, China Traditional and Indonesia English speaking</p>
<p>The average raw search values are low size at 0.0035 but these convert to a very high celiac search value of 5.4. This means that these large population countries have relatively low searches, also have low internet penetration. When values are adjusted for internet penetration and Google market share they have some of the highest ‘per celiac&#8217; searches of any communities.</p>
<p>Hyper markets also tend to have a lower proportion of generic searches than tier 1 and even tier 3 and the specific food searches proportion lies between that of tier 1 and tier 3.</p>
<p>These hyper communities are also often characterised by being smaller English speaking communities within larger non English lower economic wealth countries. It is likely that these enclaves have a higher than normal proportion of people who have access to enhanced health care (to be diagnosed in the first place) and that their relative wealth makes their  gluten free tastes more exotic/ luxurious than even tier 1 communities . For example the top Russian English specific foods in order of search size are:  pizza; gluten free beer; gluten free cakes; gluten free muffins.</p>
<p> Similarly Indonesian English speaking searches searched in order of size for: gluten free pizza, gluten free pasta; gluten free muffins then flour.</p>
<p> GLOBAL CONCLUSIONS</p>
<p> The raw search versus ‘adjusted celiac search&#8217; plots  shows a linear relationship between the two parameters . While this may be expected, this graph reveals Russia China and Indonesia as anomalies to this trend. As discussed previously, the things these places have in common are that they all have very large populations, are developing countries and have low internet penetration.</p>
<p>The reasons for these outliers are discussed in hyper markets section above however one of the most useful things is to see how so many developed and developing communities are  clustered at the undeveloped market end of this graph . While  Australia, US and Singapore markets  are not anywhere near fully developed as yet (still a large undiagnosed amount of people &#8211; much less than the 1 in 100 forecast), it shows that there is a very large room for development in these markets also. As being a celiac is a disease and has severe medical consequences for its sufferers, it is amazing that very developed countries such as France, Germany and Italy should have such lowly developed gluten demand.</p>
<p>Even more remarkable is the implications of the plot for ‘ Adjusted celiac values V GDP per person&#8217; resulting in a strong logarithmic trend . Ignoring the effects of outlier hypermarkets such as Russia, China and Indonesia, it can be seen that most countries lie on a steadily decreasing arc as the celiac search values increase.</p>
<p>This clearly demonstrates that for the majority of countries analysed that wealth (GDP per person) is a clear indicator of gluten free demand and/ or celiac diagnosis. While India and Mexico might also appear slightly off the log trend, it should be noted that these countries have very low internet penetration and so the adjustment factors to convert tier raw values into celiac search values are much more sensitive to small changes in media estimations of internet and Google share.</p>
<p>The relationships also suggests that particularly for countries with at least moderate internet penetration, that knowing their GDP per person value may allow an estimate of their gluten free market development and/ or diagnosis level. </p></div>
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		<title>How much gluten would it take to cause a reaction in a gluten sensitive person?</title>
		<link>http://allergy-aware.com/94/gluten/how-much-gluten-would-it-take-to-cause-a-reaction-in-a-gluten-sensitive-person/</link>
		<comments>http://allergy-aware.com/94/gluten/how-much-gluten-would-it-take-to-cause-a-reaction-in-a-gluten-sensitive-person/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Feb 2010 03:39:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jane Simpson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[gluten]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Would a little flour put on chicken b4 being sauteed cause a reaction in a gluten sensitive person if they were to eat it?
What about an ity bitty piece of banana bread (made w/ refined wheat flour)?
You might also enjoy:Tasty Gluten Free ProductsWhat are your favourite wheat-free &#038; gluten-free recipes?Chebe!35th winter fancy food show.how to [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Would a little flour put on chicken b4 being sauteed cause a reaction in a gluten sensitive person if they were to eat it?</p>
<p>What about an ity bitty piece of banana bread (made w/ refined wheat flour)?</p>
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		<title>How much gluten should I add to all purpose flour so it will rise?</title>
		<link>http://allergy-aware.com/93/gluten/how-much-gluten-should-i-add-to-all-purpose-flour-so-it-will-rise/</link>
		<comments>http://allergy-aware.com/93/gluten/how-much-gluten-should-i-add-to-all-purpose-flour-so-it-will-rise/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Feb 2010 06:03:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jane Simpson</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[I am making soft pretzels with my bread machine and i don&#8217;t have any bread flour on me, but i do have gluten and all-purpose flour. I&#8217;ve heard you just add some of the gluten to the all-purpose and it&#8217;s the same. I don&#8217;t want to use all gluten flour either because that stuff is [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I am making soft pretzels with my bread machine and i don&#8217;t have any bread flour on me, but i do have gluten and all-purpose flour. I&#8217;ve heard you just add some of the gluten to the all-purpose and it&#8217;s the same. I don&#8217;t want to use all gluten flour either because that stuff is expensive! Could someone tell me how many table or teaspoons of gluten per cup of flour?</p>
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